Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
2 - 1
Ajaccio

Tete (12'), Lacazette (21' pen.)
Lacazette (33')
Lopes (27')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Mangani (31' pen.)
Avinel (20'), Hamouma (33'), El Idrissy (34'), Diallo (41'), Spadanuda (90+2')
Hamouma (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

Last Six:

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Lyon
Saturday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Lorient	0	0	0
9	Lyon	0	0	0
10	Marseille	0	0	0

Ajaccio

Last Six:

Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Toulouse
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ajaccio	0	0	0
2	Angers	0	0	0
3	Auxerre	0	0	0

One can only begin to imagine the murmurs of discontent which will become apparent if Lyon fail to kick off the opening day with a convincing win, but we do not expect any shocks at the Groupama Stadium. Pantaloni already has experience of managing in the top level and has a wealth of veteran players with knowledge of the top flight, but their steadfast defending from 2021-22 will count for nought against a reinvigorated Lyon crop, and their goalscoring problems will not be solved overnight either. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Ajaccio
63.24% ( 0.01)	20.91%	15.84% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.46% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.63% (

-0.01)

45.37% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.29% (

-0.01)

67.71% (

0.01)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.3% (

-0)

13.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.07% (

-0.01)

40.93% (

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.47% (

-0.02)

41.52% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.98% (

-0.02)

78.02% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Lyon 63.22%

Ajaccio 15.85%

Draw 20.91%

Lyon	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 11.3% 2-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.45% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.8% Total : 63.22%	1-1 @ 9.94% 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.91%	0-1 @ 5% 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 15.85%