Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Aug 21, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
1 - 2
Auxerre

Sakho (39')
Sakho (73')
Fayad (46'), Savanier (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

da Costa (70'), Autret (75' pen.)
da Costa (5'), Joly (43')
Niang (51'), da Costa (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:

Last Game: PSG 5-2 Montpellier
Saturday, August 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Lorient	1	1	3
9	Montpellier HSC	2	-2	3
10	Clermont	2	-3	3

Auxerre

Last Six:

Last Game: Auxerre 2-2 Angers
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Rennes	2	-1	1
18	Auxerre	2	-3	1
19	Reims	2	-5	0

We said: Montpellier HSC 3-1 Auxerre

Both teams have showcased that they are not always the strongest at the back in terms of keeping clean sheets, and that should open this game up to feature plenty of goals. Montpellier HSC have been free-scoring in the first two fixtures, and that could play a part in them securing all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Auxerre
41.66% ( -0.73)	24.69% ( -0.09)	33.65% ( 0.82)

Both teams to score 58.32% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.3% (

0.67)

44.69% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.94% (

0.64)

67.05% (

-0.64)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51% (

-0.06)

21.49% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.47% (

-0.09)

54.53% (

0.09)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.29% (

0.82)

25.71% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.36% (

1.1)

60.63% (

-1.1)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 41.66%

Auxerre 33.65%

Draw 24.68%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Auxerre
2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.66%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.68%	1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.65%