Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1

Aug 7, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
3 - 2
Troyes

Sainte-Luce (3'), Savanier (15', 81')
Makouana (52')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Tardieu (12' pen.), Balde (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:

Last Game: Crystal Palace 4-2 Montpellier
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Marseille	0	0	0
11	Montpellier HSC	0	0	0
12	Nantes	0	0	0

Troyes

Last Six:

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Toulouse	0	0	0
17	Troyes	0	0	0
18	Ajaccio	1	-1	0

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-1 Troyes

Although Montpellier's struggles at the end of last term have continued into pre-season, they have usually pick up a positive result against Troyes, and we think they will manage to take a point from Sunday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Troyes
43.85% ( 0.37)	26.03% ( -0.14)	30.12% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 52.4% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.24% (

0.48)

51.76% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.47% (

0.41)

73.53% (

-0.41)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.51% (

0.39)

23.49% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.49% (

0.56)

57.51% (

-0.56)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.48% (

0.08)

31.52% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.09% (

0.09)

67.91% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 43.84%

Troyes 30.12%

Draw 26.03%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.84%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.12%