Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Lens |
35.71% ( 0.02) | 27.98% ( 0) | 36.31% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.86% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.82% ( -0.01) | 58.18% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.17% ( -0) | 78.83% ( 0.01) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.99% ( 0.01) | 31.01% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.68% ( 0.01) | 67.32% ( -0.01) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.37% ( -0.02) | 30.63% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.12% ( -0.02) | 66.87% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.71% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
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