Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Aug 28, 2022 at 12pm UK

La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
3 - 1
Toulouse

Guessand (50'), Mohamed (55'), Simon (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Aboukhlal (15')
van den Boomen (37'), Dejaegere (45'), Nicolaisen (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, August 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Montpellier HSC	3	-3	3
14	Nantes	3	-1	2
15	Nice	3	-1	2

Toulouse

Last Six:

Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Lorient
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Clermont	3	-2	6
8	Toulouse	3	3	5
9	Brest	3	1	4

We said: Nantes 1-1 Toulouse

While Nantes are winless this term, Toulouse are still unbeaten and we think that the visitors will continue that run by holding their hosts to a draw on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Toulouse
34.73% ( -0.29)	26.14% ( -0.07)	39.13% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 53.59% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.08% (

0.27)

50.92% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.21% (

0.24)

72.79% (

-0.24)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.95% (

-0.05)

28.05% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.29% (

-0.06)

63.71% (

0.06)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.48% (

0.33)

25.52% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.63% (

0.44)

60.37% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Nantes 34.73%

Toulouse 39.13%

Draw 26.13%

Nantes	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.73%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.13%