Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6

Sep 4, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
1 - 1
Strasbourg

Lees-Melou (6')
Brassier (44'), Belkebla (52'), Belaili (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ajorque (28' pen.)
Stephan (33'), Stephan (45'), Pierre-Gabriel (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

Last Six:

Last Game: Rennes 3-1 Brest
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Monaco	5	-4	5
17	Brest	5	-8	4
18	Strasbourg	5	-2	3

Strasbourg

Last Six:

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 Nantes
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Brest	5	-8	4
18	Strasbourg	5	-2	3
19	Angers	6	-11	2

Both teams are out of form and have struggled defensively so far this term, although they have looked a threat going forward as they have both scored in four of their opening five league games. We fancy both teams to score on Sunday but the visitors may just edge it to climb above their opponents and out of the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Strasbourg
29.15% ( -0.2)	27.35% ( 0.07)	43.5% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 47.96% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.78% (

-0.34)

57.22% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.93% (

-0.27)

78.07% (

0.27)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.9% (

-0.33)

35.09% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.16% (

-0.35)

71.84% (

0.35)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.9% (

-0.09)

26.1% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.85% (

-0.12)

61.15% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Brest 29.16%

Strasbourg 43.49%

Draw 27.34%

Brest	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.11% Total : 29.16%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.49%