Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11

Oct 16, 2022 at 12pm UK

Stadium Municipal

Toulouse
3 - 2
Angers

Dejaegere (10'), van den Boomen (40' pen.), Spierings (67')
Nicolaisen (31'), Aboukhlal (48'), Chaibi (73')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Bentaleb (33'), Salama (90+3')
Doumbia (21'), Amadou (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Angers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Toulouse
Friday, October 7 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Angers

All competitions

Last Game: Angers 2-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

A Toulouse outfit boasting a fully-fit Ratao can deepen Angers' everlasting defensive woes this weekend, as Montanier's side have found a sixth gear when playing in front of their own fans recently. The visitors can still cause problems in the final third, but a full-strength Toulouse were full value for their point at Lyon and should end Sunday's clash with all three to their name. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Angers had a probability of 13.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Angers
65.81% ( -0.31)	20.21% ( 0.16)	13.98% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 48.12% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.9% (

-0.33)

46.11% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.6% (

-0.31)

68.41% (

0.32)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.84% (

-0.19)

13.17% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.14% (

-0.39)

39.86% (

0.4)

Angers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.42% (

0.04)

44.59% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.4% (

0.03)

80.6% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 65.81%

Angers 13.98%

Draw 20.21%

Toulouse	Draw	Angers
2-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 65.81%	1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 20.21%	0-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.33% Total : 13.98%