Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 62.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
Result | ||
Fulham | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
62.15% | 21.89% | 15.95% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 47.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.72% ( 0) | 49.27% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.67% | 71.33% ( -0) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.69% | 15.31% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.95% ( 0) | 44.04% ( -0) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.25% ( -0) | 43.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.09% | 79.91% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Fulham | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 12.56% 2-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 7.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.1% 4-0 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.52% 5-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.17% Total : 62.14% | 1-1 @ 10.39% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.88% | 0-1 @ 5.54% 1-2 @ 4.3% 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.18% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.54% Total : 15.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |