Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Mar 30, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 1
Frosinone

Gudmundsson (30' pen.)
Retegui (42'), Badelj (45')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Jesus (36')
Zortea (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Juventus 0-0 Genoa
Sunday, March 17 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Frosinone

All competitions

Last Game: Frosinone 2-3 Lazio
Saturday, March 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Since December, Genoa have drawn the most games in Serie A (eight), and that trend could continue at Marassi: Frosinone are far less effective away from home, but they pose an attacking threat and may have benefited from a break that came as they were free-falling down the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Frosinone
58.18% ( 0.08)	22.53% ( -0.02)	19.29% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 52.07% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.32% (

-0)

46.68% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.05% (

-0)

68.95% (

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.26% (

0.03)

15.74% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.15% (

0.05)

44.85% (

-0.05)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.79% (

-0.07)

38.2% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.03% (

-0.06)

74.96% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Genoa 58.16%

Frosinone 19.29%

Draw 22.52%

Genoa	Draw	Frosinone
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 58.16%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.52%	0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 19.29%