Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Atalanta BC |
36.4% ( -0.13) | 28.4% ( 0.08) | 35.2% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 46.61% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.29% ( -0.28) | 59.71% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.98% ( -0.21) | 80.02% ( 0.21) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.66% ( -0.22) | 31.35% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.29% ( -0.26) | 67.71% ( 0.26) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.89% ( -0.11) | 32.11% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.41% ( -0.13) | 68.59% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 36.39% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.39% | 0-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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