La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 3, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
4 - 3
Atletico

Fernandez (2'), Savio (26'), Blind (39'), Martin (90+1')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Morata (14', 44', 54')
Hermoso (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Girona and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Betis 1-1 Girona
Thursday, December 21 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Sevilla
Saturday, December 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Girona 2-1 Atletico Madrid

Atleti have shown inconsistency in their recent league games, and if they are unable to produce their best form against Girona, they could experience a difficult evening. With that in mind, we think that a free-scoring Girona side will continue their remarkable season by condemning the visitors to a fourth consecutive away defeat in La Liga. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Atletico Madrid
44.8% ( 0.08)	24.84% ( 0.44)	30.35% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 56.39% (

-1.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.39% (

-2.19)

46.61% (

2.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.12% (

-2.09)

68.88% (

2.09)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.14% (

-0.87)

20.86% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.45% (

-1.38)

53.55% (

1.38)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.26% (

-1.43)

28.74% (

1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.42% (

-1.82)

64.58% (

1.82)

Score Analysis

Girona 44.8%

Atletico Madrid 30.35%

Draw 24.84%

Girona	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.66% Total : 44.8%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.84%	0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.35%