La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

May 4, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
4 - 2
Barcelona

Dovbyk (4'), Portu (65', 75'), Gutierrez (67')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Christensen (3'), Lewandowski (45+1' pen.)
Kounde (28'), Araujo (38'), Roberto (43')

"A lack of maturity" - Xavi highly critical of Barcelona display against Girona

Barcelona head coach Xavi criticises his side for their 4-2 loss at Girona, with the result handing Real Madrid the La Liga title.

May 5, 07:24

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Las Palmas 0-2 Girona
Saturday, April 27 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 4-2 Valencia
Monday, April 29 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Barcelona
43.97% ( -1.75)	23.6% ( 0.44)	32.42% ( 1.31)

Both teams to score 61.77% (

-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.01% (

-1.54)

39.99% (

1.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.64% (

-1.61)

62.35% (

1.6)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.48% (

-1.31)

18.51% (

1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.26% (

-2.26)

49.73% (

2.25)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.8% (

0.03)

24.19% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.47% (

0.05)

58.52% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Girona 43.97%

Barcelona 32.42%

Draw 23.6%

Girona	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.56% Total : 43.97%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.6%	1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.42%