La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 21

Jan 22, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes

Granada
0 - 1
Atletico

Boye (75'), Batalla (90+5'), Medina (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Morata (54')
Niguez (72'), Savic (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Granada and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Granada

All competitions

Last Game: Betis 1-0 Granada
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 4-2 Real Madrid
Thursday, January 18 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Granada 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Granada's best performances have come at home this season, while Atletico have not been too impressive on their travels. Granada will also be the fresher of the two sides, but we are still expecting Simeone's side to navigate their way to an important three points in Monday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Granada had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Granada	Draw	Atletico Madrid
29.19% ( 0.78)	24.93% ( 0.18)	45.87% ( -0.96)

Both teams to score 55.41% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.41% (

-0.34)

47.58% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.21% (

-0.32)

69.79% (

0.32)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.96% (

0.38)

30.04% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.83% (

0.46)

66.17% (

-0.46)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.21% (

-0.56)

20.79% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.56% (

-0.88)

53.44% (

0.88)

Score Analysis

Granada 29.19%

Atletico Madrid 45.87%

Draw 24.92%

Granada	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.19% Total : 29.19%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.92%	0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.66% Total : 45.87%