Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
3 - 2
Atalanta

Lukaku (1'), Barella (3'), Martinez (77')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Pasalic (36'), Onana (90+1' og.)
Toloi (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 Inter Milan
Wednesday, May 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 20 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Atalanta BC

While no team has won more home matches in this season's Serie A than Inter, their visitors boast the third-best away record in Italy's top flight. It may be just one goal that splits the sides, then, but the hosts' momentum is still building whereas Atalanta are a more hit-and-miss proposition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Atalanta BC
58.27% ( 0.07)	23.6% ( 0.03)	18.13% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 46.83% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.36% (

-0.27)

52.64% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.71% (

-0.24)

74.29% (

0.24)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.17% (

-0.08)

17.82% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.43% (

-0.13)

48.56% (

0.13)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.99% (

-0.29)

43.01% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.7% (

-0.24)

79.3% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 58.27%

Atalanta BC 18.13%

Draw 23.59%

Inter Milan	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 13.22% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 58.27%	1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.59%	0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 18.13%