Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 14.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
14.09% ( 0.05) | 19.81% ( 0.04) | 66.1% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 49.75% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.91% ( -0.04) | 44.09% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.53% ( -0.04) | 66.47% ( 0.03) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.84% ( 0.06) | 43.16% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.57% ( 0.05) | 79.43% ( -0.05) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.53% ( -0.04) | 12.47% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.57% ( -0.08) | 38.43% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.45% Total : 14.09% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 19.81% | 0-2 @ 11.66% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0) 0-3 @ 8.09% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.21% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 66.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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