Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Mar 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
0 - 1
Juventus

Barella (30'), Brozovic (90+7'), D'Ambrosio (90+7')
D'Ambrosio (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kostic (23')
Gatti (31'), Rabiot (71'), Danilo (88'), Paredes (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Porto 0-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Freiburg 0-2 Juventus
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Inter Milan 2-2 Juventus

Inter have lost three of their last six Serie A matches following Champions League fixtures - including both of their last two - but they have had two days more to recover from their travels than Juventus. In their final game before the international break, both sides will empty the tank in pursuit of Derby d'Italia glory, and there could well be a share of the spoils after an absorbing encounter at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 22.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Juventus
52.56% ( 1.18)	25.44% ( -0.11)	22.01% ( -1.07)

Both teams to score 47.29% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.97% (

-0.56)

55.03% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.7% (

-0.46)

76.3% (

0.47)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.03% (

0.27)

20.96% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.28% (

0.42)

53.72% (

-0.41)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.84% (

-1.36)

40.16% (

1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.2% (

-1.26)

76.8% (

1.27)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 52.55%

Juventus 22.01%

Draw 25.44%

Inter Milan	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.55%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.32% Total : 22.01%