Coppa Italia | Final

May 11, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Inter Milan
2 - 4
Juventus

Sandro (50'), Vlahovic (52')
Allegri (83'), Locatelli (90+2')
Allegri (104')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Barella (7'), Calhanoglu (80' pen.), Perisic (98' pen., 102')
Brozovic (55'), Vidal (119')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Inter Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

Last Six:

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Napoli	38	43	79
4	Juventus	38	20	70
5	Lazio	38	19	64

Inter Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	AC Milan	38	38	86
2	Inter Milan	38	52	84
3	Napoli	38	43	79

We said: Inter Milan 1-2 Juventus (after extra time)

Although there will be plenty of attacking talent on display at the Olimpico, both coaches can be risk-averse on the big occasion, so this should be a final decided by a one-goal margin. In fact, the evening could well end in penalties, but reigning Coppa champions Juve may have a late surprise in their armoury; taking vengeance for recent defeats to Inter with victory after 120 minutes of intense combat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Juventus
33.53%	26.55%	39.92%

Both teams to score 52.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.16%

52.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.54%

74.45%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.25%

29.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.19%

65.81%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02%

25.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.01%

60.99%

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 33.53%

Juventus 39.91%

Draw 26.55%

Inter Milan	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 9.37% 2-1 @ 7.66% 2-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-0 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.53%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.73% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.91%