Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

May 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

San Siro

Inter Milan
4 - 2
Empoli

Romagnoli (40' og.), Martinez (45', 64'), Sanchez (90+4')
Martinez (64')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Pinamonti (5'), Asllani (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	AC Milan	38	38	86
2	Inter Milan	38	52	84
3	Napoli	38	43	79

Empoli

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Bologna	38	-11	46
14	Empoli	38	-20	41
15	Sampdoria	38	-17	36

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Empoli

Empoli are capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Inter, but we are finding it difficult to back against the home side here. Inzaghi's side need to win to move to the summit, and we are expecting the Milan giants to be too strong for their opponents in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 78.66%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 7.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Empoli
78.66%	13.41%	7.93%

Both teams to score 50.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.83%

31.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.4%

52.6%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.71%

6.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.32%

23.68%

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.31%

45.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.52%

81.48%

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 78.65%

Empoli 7.93%

Draw 13.41%

Inter Milan	Draw	Empoli
2-0 @ 10.99% 3-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 8.62% 3-1 @ 7.95% 1-0 @ 7.95% 4-0 @ 7.02% 4-1 @ 5.5% 5-0 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 3.11% 5-1 @ 3.04% 4-2 @ 2.15% 6-0 @ 1.79% 6-1 @ 1.4% 5-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.91% Total : 78.65%	1-1 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 3.37% 0-0 @ 2.87% Other @ 0.93% Total : 13.41%	1-2 @ 2.44% 0-1 @ 2.25% Other @ 3.24% Total : 7.93%