Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Mar 20, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
1 - 1
Hellas Verona

Di Francesco (26')
Romagnoli (46'), Parisi (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cancellieri (71')
Casale (35'), Simeone (66'), Cancellieri (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Bologna	38	-11	46
14	Empoli	38	-20	41
15	Sampdoria	38	-17	36

Hellas Verona

Last Six:

Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Atalanta BC	38	17	59
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53
10	Torino	38	5	50

We said: Empoli 2-1 Hellas Verona

Empoli have conceded 11 times in the opening 15 minutes of play in Serie A this season - the joint-most of any team (level with rock-bottom Salernitana) - while no side has scored more in this period than Verona's 11. Therefore, the opening stages could prove crucial to the overall outcome, and if the hosts survive unscathed, their winless run can come to an end against a depleted visiting side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Empoli win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Hellas Verona
35.65%	23.94%	40.41%

Both teams to score 61.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.25%

40.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.86%

63.14%

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.25%

22.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.57%

56.43%

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.61%

20.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.19%

52.81%

Score Analysis

Empoli 35.65%

Hellas Verona 40.41%

Draw 23.94%

Empoli	Draw	Hellas Verona
2-1 @ 8.09% 1-0 @ 6.87% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.65%	1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.94%	1-2 @ 8.68% 0-1 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 4.6% 2-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 3.11% 1-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.95% Total : 40.41%