Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
3 - 3
Hellas Verona

Cabral (16'), Anderson (29'), Pedro (62')
Felipe (20'), Leiva (84')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Simeone (6'), Lasagna (14'), Hongla (76')
Hongla (3'), Veloso (23'), Ceccherini (44'), Faraoni (45+4'), Casale (54'), Lasagna (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

Last Six:

Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Juventus	38	20	70
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63

Hellas Verona

Last Six:

Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Atalanta BC	38	17	59
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53
10	Torino	38	5	50

We said: Lazio 3-2 Hellas Verona

Neither side is particularly secure at the back, with both Tudor and Sarri espousing attack-first philosophies, so an entertaining evening could be in store. As the stakes are relatively low, a carefree attitude is likely to result in goals for both teams, but Lazio never know when they are beaten and can come back to win even if they go behind. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Hellas Verona
55.21% ( 0.17)	23.09% ( 0.25)	21.7% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 53.99% (

-1.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.04% (

-1.57)

45.96% (

1.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.73% (

-1.51)

68.27% (

1.51)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.49% (

-0.5)

16.51% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.75% (

-0.91)

46.25% (

0.91)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.66% (

-1.28)

35.34% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.9% (

-1.35)

72.1% (

1.35)

Score Analysis

Lazio 55.2%

Hellas Verona 21.7%

Draw 23.08%

Lazio	Draw	Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.51) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 55.2%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.08%	0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.95% Total : 21.7%