Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 16.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Juventus in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Juventus.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Juventus |
16.63% ( -0.43) | 21.33% ( -0.18) | 62.04% ( 0.6) |
Both teams to score 50.83% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.23% ( 0.04) | 45.77% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.91% ( 0.04) | 68.09% ( -0.05) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.24% ( -0.5) | 40.76% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.66% ( -0.45) | 77.34% ( 0.44) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.8% ( 0.2) | 14.2% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.09% ( 0.39) | 41.91% ( -0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.87% Total : 16.63% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.32% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 11.02% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 7.18% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 6.44% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 3.5% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.41% 0-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 62.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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