Coppa Italia | Round of 16

Jan 4, 2024 at 8pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
6 - 1
Salernitana

Miretti (12'), Cambiaso (34'), Rugani (54'), Bronn (75' og.), Yildiz (88'), Weah (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ikwuemesi (1')
Maggiore (40')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Juventus and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Roma
Saturday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Salernitana
Saturday, December 30 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Juventus 3-1 Salernitana

Three days before they lock horns again in the league, two unfamiliar XIs may line up at the Allianz Stadium, where Juventus are set to secure victory and ease through to the Coppa quarter-finals. Aside from turning over lowly Verona last time out, Salernitana registered barely a handful of points on the road in 2023, and that trend will continue on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 15.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Salernitana
61.24% ( 0.04)	22.84% ( 0.1)	15.92% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 44.81% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.94% (

-0.6)

53.06% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.35% (

-0.51)

74.64% (

0.51)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.08% (

-0.2)

16.92% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.02% (

-0.35)

46.98% (

0.34)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.94% (

-0.55)

46.06% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.23% (

-0.43)

81.77% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Juventus 61.23%

Salernitana 15.92%

Draw 22.84%

Juventus	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 13.84% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 61.23%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.62% Total : 22.84%	0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.34% Total : 15.92%