Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 28, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
1 - 4
Spurs

Harrison (67')
Struijk (9'), Wober (14'), Cooper (56')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kane (2', 69'), Porro (47'), Moura (90+5')

Harry Kane breaks and equals Premier League records in final-day Leeds win

Tottenham Hotspur striker Harry Kane breaks one Premier League record and equals two others in the Lilywhites' 4-1 final-day win over Leeds United at Elland Road.

May 29, 09:37

Leeds United manager Sam Allardyce pictured on May 28, 2023

Sam Allardyce discusses Leeds United future after Premier League relegation

Sam Allardyce refuses to rule out the prospect of continuing as Leeds United manager despite suffering relegation from the Premier League.

May 28, 21:10

Tottenham Hotspur's Harry Kane celebrates scoring on May 28, 2023

Ryan Mason: 'Tottenham Hotspur have huge decisions to make this summer'

Tottenham Hotspur coach Ryan Mason warns chairman Daniel Levy that he has "huge decisions" to make this summer after Spurs' eighth-placed finish in the Premier League.

May 28, 20:23

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Leeds
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions

Last Game: Spurs 1-3 Brentford
Saturday, May 20 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
35.17% ( -0.34)	23.51% ( 0.05)	41.32% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 63.02% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.28% (

-0.32)

38.72% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.97% (

-0.34)

61.03% (

0.34)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.93% (

-0.32)

22.07% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.58% (

-0.49)

55.42% (

0.48)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.87% (

-0.01)

19.12% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.24% (

-0.02)

50.76% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 35.17%

Tottenham Hotspur 41.32%

Draw 23.5%

Leeds United	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.17%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.5%	1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 41.32%