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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Leicester logo

Leeds
1 - 1
Leicester

Sinisterra (20')
Ayling (41'), Rodrigo (45+2'), Roca (53'), Cooper (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vardy (80')
Soumare (52'), Tielemans (67')

The Match

Match Report

Jamie Vardy's late strike rescues a point for Leicester City in a 1-1 draw with Premier League relegation rivals Leeds United at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Wolves
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.56%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawLeicester City
34.8% (0.11 0.11) 23.07% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 42.13% (-0.146 -0.15)
Both teams to score 64.62% (-0.105 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.4% (-0.151 -0.15)36.6% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.24% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)58.76% (0.165 0.16)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)21.29% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)54.22% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1% (-0.12100000000001 -0.12)17.9% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.31% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)48.69% (0.21 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 34.8%
    Leicester City 42.13%
    Draw 23.06%
Leeds UnitedDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.9% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.8%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.87% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 42.13%

How you voted: Leeds vs Leicester

Leeds United
29.8%
Draw
17.9%
Leicester City
52.4%
168
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2022 8.15pm
gameweek 12
Leicester
2-0
Leeds
Koch (16' og.), Barnes (35')

Koch (43')
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 28
Leicester
1-0
Leeds
Barnes (67')
Ndidi (53')

Struijk (9'), Forshaw (71')
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
gameweek 11
Leeds
1-1
Leicester
Raphinha (26')
Raphinha (27')
Barnes (28')
Ndidi (74')
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
gameweek 21
Leicester
1-3
Leeds
Barnes (13')
Dallas (15'), Bamford (70'), Harrison (84')
Ayling (38'), Dallas (62'), Klich (74')
Nov 2, 2020 8pm
gameweek 7
Leeds
1-4
Leicester
Dallas (48')
Dallas (50')
Barnes (2'), Tielemans (21', 90+1'), Vardy (76')
Thomas (84')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Saturday, June 15
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
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Friday, July 5
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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