Championship | Gameweek 38
Apr 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
King Power Stadium
We said: Leicester City 3-1 Southampton
Although not at their best versus West Brom - particular during the first period - Leicester got the job done, and we can imagine a similar narrative unfolding on Tuesday night.
Southampton will be sapped of energy following Saturday's last-minute defeat at Cardiff, so we are predicting back-to-back losses for the Saints.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.64% . A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.5%) . The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%) . The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result Leicester City Draw Southampton 52.64% 22.1% ( 0) 25.26%
Both teams to score 61.83% ( -0.01)
62.38% ( -0.01) 37.62% ( 0.01)
40.14% ( -0.01) 59.86% ( 0.01)
85.56% ( -0) 14.44% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 57.62% ( -0.01) 42.38% ( 0.01)
72.27% ( -0) 27.73% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.7% ( -0.01) 63.3% ( 0.01)
Leicester City 52.64%
Southampton 25.26%
Draw 22.1%
Leicester City Draw Southampton 2-1 @ 9.62% 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.2% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.42% Total : 52.64% 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.1% 1-2 @ 6.37% 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.69% Total : 25.26%
How you voted: Leicester vs Southampton
Leicester City
Draw
Southampton
221
rhs 2.0
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