Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 26

Mar 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 0
Leicester

Alcaraz (35')
Alcaraz (21'), Adams (62'), Armstrong (77'), Ward-Prowse (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Barnes (43'), Maddison (45+4')

The Match

Match Report

Southampton move off the bottom of the Premier League table courtesy of a 1-0 victory over Leicester City at St Mary's.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Grimsby Town
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leicester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Blackburn
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Leicester City
36.63% ( -0.09)	25.15% ( -0.02)	38.23% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 57.22% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.65% (

0.1)

46.35% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.37% (

0.1)

68.63% (

-0.1)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.21% (

24.79% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.64% (

59.36% (

-0)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.07% (

0.11)

23.92% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.86% (

0.15)

58.14% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Southampton 36.63%

Leicester City 38.23%

Draw 25.15%

Southampton	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 36.63%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 38.23%