Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Jan 14, 2024 at 12pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
3 - 0
Lorient

David (37'), Cabella (90'), Zhegrova (90+3')
Andre (40')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Le Bris (30'), Le Bris (30'), Bakayoko (41'), Pelon (55'), Toure (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 12-0 Golden Lion
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Sochaux 2-1 Lorient
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Their Coupe de France encounter was clearly a mismatch, but Lille now have a thirst for goals and will be seeking retribution versus Les Merlus, who beat them handily earlier this season. Lorient could be reeling from several poor defensive displays and numerous starters away on international duty, and we expect to see Les Dogues pounce on a side who could barely contain a second-tier club last week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 71.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 10.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
Lille	Draw	Lorient
71.59% ( 0.63)	17.55% ( -0.22)	10.86% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 47.43% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.07% (

-0.14)

41.93% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.67% (

-0.14)

64.33% (

0.15)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.61% (

0.12)

10.39% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.08% (

0.27)

33.92% (

-0.27)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.93% (

-0.84)

47.07% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.46% (

-0.64)

82.54% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Lille 71.58%

Lorient 10.86%

Draw 17.55%

Lille	Draw	Lorient
2-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.17% Total : 71.58%	1-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.75% Total : 17.55%	0-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.64% Total : 10.86%