Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27

Mar 31, 2024 at 12pm UK

Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Lorient
0 - 1
Brest

Dieng (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Del Castillo (86')
Lala (45+1'), Martin (76'), Brassier (80')
Brahimi (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Monaco 2-2 Lorient
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 1-1 Lille
Sunday, March 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

While Brest have the third-best road record in Ligue 1 — and Lorient have the fourth-worst home return in the division — the Pirates' dearth of goals (16) in 13 away matches suggests Sunday's match will be tight. Nevertheless, Roy's team are adept against struggling clubs, pointing to a narrow victory for the second-placed side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brest in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brest.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Brest
26.55% ( -0.01)	24.86% ( -0.01)	48.59% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.69% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.06% (

0.03)

48.94% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.97% (

0.02)

71.03% (

-0.03)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.26% (

32.74% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.7% (

69.3% (

-0.01)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.82% (

0.02)

20.18% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.53% (

0.03)

52.47% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Lorient 26.55%

Brest 48.58%

Draw 24.85%

Lorient	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 26.55%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.85%	0-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 48.58%