Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10

Oct 9, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
1 - 2
Lorient

Del Castillo (17')
Slimani (21'), Del Castillo (63'), Honorat (66')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Moffi (24', 53')
Boisgard (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Brest
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Lille
Sunday, October 2 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient will be keen to keep this strong form up for as long as possible with their sights firmly set on a place in Europe. Brest should provide little problem for Lorient, who will likely continue their flying start with another victory away from home this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lorient in this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Lorient
44.85% ( 0.52)	27.56% ( -0.21)	27.58% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 46.47% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.32% (

0.58)

58.68% (

-0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.78% (

0.45)

79.22% (

-0.45)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.93% (

0.53)

26.07% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.88% (

0.71)

61.12% (

-0.71)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.86% (

0.07)

37.14% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.07% (

0.06)

73.92% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Brest 44.85%

Lorient 27.58%

Draw 27.56%

Brest	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 13.01% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.85%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.56%	0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 27.58%