Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7

Sep 11, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
3 - 2
Nantes

Ouattara (19'), Cathline (60'), Kone (74')
Laporte (76'), Kone (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ganago (13'), Simon (85')
Simon (40'), Chirivella (45'), Appiah (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

Last Six:

Last Game: Lorient 3-1 Lyon
Wednesday, September 7 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Lyon	6	8	13
5	Lorient	6	2	13
6	Lille	7	-1	10

Nantes

Last Six:

Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Olympiacos
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Auxerre	6	-4	7
13	Nantes	6	-2	6
14	Reims	6	-3	6

As much as Lorient were helped by some individual Lyon errors in midweek, take nothing away from Les Merlus' stunning start to the campaign, and a third-straight win at the Stade du Moustoir is on the cards. Nantes battled well on Thursday night but are working with less rest time than their in-form counterparts, and their away-day struggles are set to continue versus the rejuvenated Merlus, who are determined to avoid a 12th game without a win in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Nantes
40.38% ( 0.81)	27.38% ( 0.18)	32.23% ( -0.99)

Both teams to score 49.11% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.63% (

-0.87)

56.37% (

0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.61% (

-0.71)

77.39% (

0.71)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.64% (

0.04)

27.36% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.17% (

0.05)

62.82% (

-0.05)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.6% (

-1.12)

32.39% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.09% (

-1.28)

68.91% (

1.28)

Score Analysis

Lorient 40.37%

Nantes 32.23%

Draw 27.38%

Lorient	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.37%	1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.38%	0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.23%