Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

Apr 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Mewa Arena

Mainz
4 - 1
Hoffenheim

Burkardt (47'), Mwene (51'), Gruda (63'), Onisiwo (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kaderabek (19')
Promel (39'), Kabak (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 4-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Augsburg
Sunday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Mainz 05 2-2 Hoffenheim

While Mainz have struggled for consistency for the majority of the season, they are unbeaten at home under Bo Henriksen and won their last two games without conceding. Matches involving these two sides have not been short of goals of late and we are expecting another high-scoring encounter here, though we feel that there will be nothing to split them at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 62.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 17.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Hoffenheim
62.43% ( -0.02)	20.17%	17.39% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 56.4% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.8% (

0.03)

39.19% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.47% (

0.04)

61.52% (

-0.04)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.97% (

12.02% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.5% (

0.01)

37.49% (

-0.01)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.1% (

0.05)

35.89% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.33% (

0.05)

72.67% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 62.43%

Hoffenheim 17.39%

Draw 20.17%

Mainz 05	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.71% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 3.92% Total : 62.43%	1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.17%	1-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 17.39%