Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34

May 19, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
0 - 2
PSG

Jean Jacques (79'), Udol (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Soler (7'), Kang-in (12')
Mendes (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Metz
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 1-2 PSG
Wednesday, May 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Metz 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

When Mikautadze is on song, Metz seldom have any problems making the net bulge and can certainly put a permeable PSG backline under the cosh, even if just for a brief moment. However, a Parisiens unit reinforced by Mbappe's return should prove far too potent for their hosts in the final third themselves, as Enrique's men end the season on a high and leave Metz dancing with the demotion devil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 70.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Metz had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-3 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Metz win it was 2-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Metz	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
12.8% ( -0.18)	16.57% ( 0)	70.63% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 57.98% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.33% (

-0.5)

31.67% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.82% (

-0.58)

53.18% (

0.58)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.01% (

-0.61)

36.99% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.22% (

-0.61)

73.78% (

0.61)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.02% (

-0.09)

7.98% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.84% (

-0.22)

28.16% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Metz 12.8%

Paris Saint-Germain 70.63%

Draw 16.57%

Metz	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.94% Total : 12.8%	1-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 16.57%	0-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 7.95% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 5.03% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 5% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 2.53% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.06) 2-5 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 0-6 @ 1.07% ( 0) 1-6 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.6% Total : 70.63%