Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Nice had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
31.01% ( 0.05) | 24.89% ( -0.01) | 44.1% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 56.58% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.49% ( 0.05) | 46.51% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.21% ( 0.05) | 68.79% ( -0.05) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.75% ( 0.06) | 28.25% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.04% ( 0.07) | 63.96% ( -0.08) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.86% | 21.14% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.02% ( -0) | 53.98% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.01% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |