Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
36.92% ( 0.01) | 23.83% ( -0) | 39.24% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 62.09% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.95% ( 0.02) | 40.05% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.58% ( 0.02) | 62.41% ( -0.02) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.23% ( 0.01) | 21.77% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.04% ( 0.02) | 54.95% ( -0.02) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.37% ( 0.01) | 20.63% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.8% ( 0.01) | 53.19% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 8.24% 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.92% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.82% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.49% 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.9% Total : 39.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |