Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Windsor Park

N. Ireland
2 - 0
Denmark

Price (60'), Charles (81')
Saville (28'), Hume (33')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hojbjerg (90'), Andersen (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Northern Ireland and Denmark, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northern Ireland

All competitions

Last Game: Finland 4-0 N. Ireland
Friday, November 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Denmark	9	11	22
2	Slovenia	9	10	19
3	Kazakhstan	9	5	18
4	Finland	9	7	15
5	Northern Ireland	9	-6	6
6	San Marino	9	-27	0

Denmark

All competitions

Last Game: Denmark 2-1 Slovenia
Friday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Denmark	9	11	22
2	Slovenia	9	10	19
3	Kazakhstan	9	5	18
4	Finland	9	7	15
5	Northern Ireland	9	-6	6
6	San Marino	9	-27	0

We said: Northern Ireland 0-2 Denmark

Northern Ireland have only scored in one of their qualifiers, excluding the wins over San Marino, and are likely to struggle again against the group winners. Denmark will hope for slip-ups elsewhere, but with the impetus of chasing a pot one seeding, Hjulmand should have them motivated here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Northern Ireland	Draw	Denmark
31.33% ( -0.16)	27.19% ( -0.02)	41.48% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 49.38% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.12% (

0.05)

55.87% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.01% (

0.04)

76.99% (

-0.04)

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.21% (

-0.09)

32.78% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.66% (

-0.1)

69.34% (

0.1)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.46% (

0.12)

26.54% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.25% (

0.16)

61.74% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Northern Ireland 31.33%

Denmark 41.47%

Draw 27.19%

Northern Ireland	Draw	Denmark
1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.33%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.19%	0-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 41.47%