Major League Soccer

Jun 22, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Exploria Stadium

Orlando City
2 - 2
Philadelphia

McGuire (13'), Ojeda (54')
Schlegel (48'), Stajduhar (61'), Enrique (82'), Kara (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McGlynn (60'), Andres Martinez (90')
Mbaizo (28'), Flach (38'), Carranza (61'), Wagner (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: New England 3-1 Orlando City
Sunday, June 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, June 11 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Orlando City 2-2 Philadelphia Union

Both teams have had no issues finding the net in recent weeks, scoring in each of their last five matches, and plenty of goalmouth action could once again be on the cards at the Exploria Stadium. Orlando's recent unbeaten run on home soil bodes well ahead of Thursday's clash, and considering the visitors have a number of absentees, we believe that the hosts will do enough claim at least a point.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Philadelphia Union
42.61% ( -0)	26.41% ( 0)	30.98% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.62% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.05% (

-0)

52.95% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.45% (

-0)

74.55% (

0.01)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.38% (

-0)

24.62% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.87% (

-0)

59.13% (

0.01)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.48% (

31.52% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.09% (

67.91% (

Score Analysis

Orlando City 42.6%

Philadelphia Union 30.98%

Draw 26.4%

Orlando City	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.62% 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.6%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.4%	0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.98%