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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Orlando City

Inter Miami
1 - 3
Orlando City

Campana (57')
Campana (16'), Cremaschi (75'), Fray (89'), McVey (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kara (19'), Ojeda (68'), Santos (86')
Carlos (23'), Cartagena (36'), Angulo (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, May 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 NY City
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 Orlando City

Just one point separates Inter Miami and Orlando in the MLS table, indicating they are very evenly-matches sides, but we expect the hosts to emerge with a narrow victory. The Herons have won their last three games at the DRV PNK Stadium, the most recent of which coming against a very strong New England Revolution side, so they should have enough about them to take all three points on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawOrlando City
45.24% (1.467 1.47) 25.13% (-0.199 -0.2) 29.63% (-1.264 -1.26)
Both teams to score 55.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.79% (0.282 0.28)48.22% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63% (0.258 0.26)70.37% (-0.252 -0.25)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67% (0.79000000000001 0.79)21.33% (-0.785 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.71% (1.204 1.2)54.29% (-1.198 -1.2)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95% (-0.72900000000001 -0.73)30.06% (0.734 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81% (-0.888 -0.89)66.19% (0.89400000000001 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 45.24%
    Orlando City 29.63%
    Draw 25.12%
Inter MiamiDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.121 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.143 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.271 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.228 0.23)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.121 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 45.24%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.249 -0.25)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.248 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 29.63%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
4-1
Orlando City
Campana (1'), Higuain (38', 52' pen.), Lassiter (56')
Kara (71')
Carlos (59')
Jul 10, 2022 3.24am
Orlando City
1-0
Inter Miami
Lowe (90+2' og.)
Smith (45+3')

Duke (52')
Aug 28, 2021 1.30am
gameweek 27
Orlando City
0-0
Inter Miami

Jansson (51')

Pizarro (63'), Makoun (85')
Aug 5, 2021 1am
gameweek 22
Orlando City
1-1
Inter Miami
Carlos (45+1')
Urso (56'), Rosell (85')
Gibbs (66')
Pizarro (68')
Jun 26, 2021 1am
gameweek 13
Inter Miami
1-2
Orlando City
Higuain (67')
Ulloa (62'), Matuidi (71'), Gonzalez Pirez (79')
Mueller (73'), Nani (80')
Pereyra (10'), Urso (62'), Mueller (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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