Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 7, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
2 - 0
Antwerp

Evanilson (32' pen.), Pepe (90+1')
Carmo (58'), Conceicao (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Yusuf (20'), Vermeeren (45+2'), Wijndal (62')
Ekkelenkamp (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Porto and Royal Antwerp, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Porto 0-1 Estoril
Friday, November 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Royal Antwerp

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Antwerp 3-2 Genk
Saturday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Porto 3-1 Royal Antwerp

Antwerp are certainly capable of causing problems on Tuesday, and we are backing them to find the back of the net in their fourth match in the competition. Porto have so much quality, though, and even with some injuries to important players, we are expecting the Portuguese outfit to win this match relatively comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 59.47%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Royal Antwerp win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Royal Antwerp
59.47% ( -0.02)	21.98% ( 0.01)	18.55% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.5% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.55% (

-0.03)

45.45% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.22% (

-0.03)

67.78% (

0.03)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.1% (

-0.02)

14.9% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.73% (

-0.03)

43.27% (

0.03)

Royal Antwerp Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.69% (

-0.01)

38.3% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.94% (

-0.01)

75.06% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Porto 59.46%

Royal Antwerp 18.55%

Draw 21.97%

Porto	Draw	Royal Antwerp
1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.56% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 59.46%	1-1 @ 10.42% 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.97%	0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 18.55%