League One

League One | Gameweek 23

Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
1 - 1
Fleetwood

Bishop (45+3' pen.)
Saydee (69'), Scully (90+2'), Sparkes (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Earl (63')
Johnson (0'), Dolan (70')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-5 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Fleetwood 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Portsmouth 2-0 Fleetwood Town

Portsmouth may have suffered a disappointing defeat in the EFL Trophy in midweek, but they have been in imperious form in the third tier. After winning each of their last four league games without conceding, we think that they will get the better of a struggling Fleetwood side in their final home fixture of the calendar year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Fleetwood Town
57.38% ( -0.56)	21.84% ( 0.24)	20.78% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 56.8% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.42% (

-0.67)

41.58% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.02% (

-0.68)

63.98% (

0.69)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.72% (

-0.39)

14.27% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.94% (

-0.77)

42.06% (

0.78)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.25% (

-0.08)

33.74% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.6% (

-0.09)

70.4% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 57.38%

Fleetwood Town 20.78%

Draw 21.83%

Portsmouth	Draw	Fleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.05% Total : 57.38%	1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.83%	1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 20.78%