La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 3, 2024 at 6.15pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
1 - 0
Mallorca

Rudiger (78')
Rodrygo (35'), Lunin (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Van der Heyden (1'), Nastasic (61'), Maffeo (70')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Real Madrid
Thursday, December 21 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mallorca

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Mallorca 3-2 Osasuna
Thursday, December 21 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Real Madrid 3-1 Mallorca

Mallorca may have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent times, but we think that they will struggle to extend their unbeaten run beyond Wednesday's contest. Real Madrid tend to save their best performances for the Santiago Bernabeu, and we believe that they will showcase the quality at their disposal to claim a relatively comfortable home victory in their first outing of 2024. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 77.25%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 7.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.11%) and 1-0 (11.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Mallorca
77.25% ( -0.72)	14.98% ( 0.37)	7.77% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 43.52% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60% (

-0.47)

39.99% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.64% (

-0.48)

62.35% (

0.48)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.45% (

-0.28)

8.55% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.43% (

-0.68)

29.56% (

0.67)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.58% (

0.57)

52.41% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.72% (

0.37)

86.27% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 77.23%

Mallorca 7.77%

Draw 14.98%

Real Madrid	Draw	Mallorca
2-0 @ 13.54% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.74% Total : 77.23%	1-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.55% Total : 14.98%	0-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.64% Total : 7.77%