Championship

Championship | Gameweek 19

Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
2 - 0
Cardiff

Armstrong (11', 15')
Downes (25')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Colwill (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 1-0 Bristol City
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 West Brom
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Southampton 2-1 Cardiff City

Bulut will have his side motivated to hit back from their controversial defeat to West Brom earlier this week and we expect them to push Southampton all the way. Nevertheless, the Saints look like a team who can still be a factor in the automatic promotion race and we are backing another home victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Cardiff City
48.29% ( 0)	24.46% ( -0.02)	27.25% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.56% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.26% (

0.06)

46.75% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.99% (

0.06)

69.01% (

-0.06)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.58% (

0.03)

19.43% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.75% (

0.05)

51.25% (

-0.05)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.96% (

0.04)

31.04% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.64% (

0.05)

67.36% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Southampton 48.29%

Cardiff City 27.25%

Draw 24.45%

Southampton	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 48.29%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.45%	0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.25%