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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Norwich City |
42.09% ( 1.38) | 26.54% ( 0.45) | 31.37% ( -1.83) |
Both teams to score 51.36% ( -2.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.65% ( -2.36) | 53.35% ( 2.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.11% ( -2.03) | 74.89% ( 2.03) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% ( -0.35) | 25.07% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.25% ( -0.49) | 59.75% ( 0.49) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.54% ( -2.4) | 31.45% ( 2.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.16% ( -2.88) | 67.83% ( 2.88) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.87) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.47% Total : 42.08% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.7) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.88% Total : 31.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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