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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
56.82% ( 0.11) | 22.12% ( -0.22) | 21.05% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 56.24% ( 0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.48% ( 1.1) | 42.51% ( -1.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.08% ( 1.09) | 64.92% ( -1.09) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.23% ( 0.41) | 14.77% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.99% ( 0.78) | 43.01% ( -0.78) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.98% ( 0.72) | 34.01% ( -0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.3% ( 0.78) | 70.69% ( -0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 56.82% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 21.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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