Championship

Championship | Gameweek 39

Apr 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Cardiff

Tavernier (28'), McGree (53')
Jones (88'), Howson (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nelson (27'), Wintle (33'), Denham (62'), Vaulks (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

Last Six:

Last Game: Preston 4-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Luton Town	46	8	75
7	Middlesbrough	46	9	70
8	Blackburn Rovers	46	9	69

Cardiff City

Last Six:

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Bristol City	46	-15	55
18	Cardiff City	46	-18	53
19	Hull City	46	-13	51

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Cardiff City

While Boro are not quite at the point of no return, they will know that a draw will likely be no good to them in the grand scheme of things. With that in mind, we expect an offensive-minded performance from Wilder's men, who we are backing to prevail by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 24.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Cardiff City
50.63%	25.28%	24.09%

Both teams to score 50.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.44%

52.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.78%

74.22%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.23%

20.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.59%

53.42%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.21%

36.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.42%

73.58%

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 50.63%

Cardiff City 24.09%

Draw 25.27%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 12.01% 2-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 4.95% 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.53% Total : 50.63%	1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.27%	0-1 @ 7.64% 1-2 @ 6% 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.78% Total : 24.09%