Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK

Liberty Stadium

Swansea
1 - 1
Middlesbrough

Obafemi (48')
Wolf (84'), Christie (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McGree (46')
Bamba (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

Last Six:

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 QPR
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Stoke City	46	5	62
15	Swansea City	46	-10	61
16	Blackpool	46	-4	60

Middlesbrough

Last Six:

Last Game: Preston 4-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Luton Town	46	8	75
7	Middlesbrough	46	9	70
8	Blackburn Rovers	46	9	69

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Middlesbrough

Despite their capitulation at Reading, there is an argument that Swansea are the marginal favourites to prevail from this fixture. Nevertheless, Boro will surely end their barren spell in front of goal soon, and it may be enough to earn a share of the spoils from this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Middlesbrough
37.6%	26.66%	35.75%

Both teams to score 52.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.03%

52.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.43%

74.57%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.67%

27.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.22%

62.78%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.58%

28.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.83%

64.18%

Score Analysis

Swansea City 37.59%

Middlesbrough 35.75%

Draw 26.65%

Swansea City	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.07% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.08% Total : 37.59%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.77% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 9.77% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 6.15% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.75%