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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 20.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Ipswich Town |
20.29% ( -2.61) | 21.72% ( 0.09) | 57.98% ( 2.52) |
Both teams to score 56.39% ( -4.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.25% ( -3.84) | 41.75% ( 3.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.85% ( -3.98) | 64.15% ( 3.98) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.68% ( -4.56) | 34.32% ( 4.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.97% ( -5.19) | 71.02% ( 5.2) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.86% ( -0.5) | 14.14% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.2% ( -0.98) | 41.8% ( 0.98) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Ipswich Town |
2-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.51) 1-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.47) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.5) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.08% Total : 20.29% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.61) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.79) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.35) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 9.49% ( 1.4) 0-2 @ 9.28% ( 1.23) 1-3 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.05% ( 0.71) 2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.47) 1-4 @ 3.17% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.96% ( 0.3) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.26) 1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.07% Total : 57.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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