Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 5, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 2
Atalanta

Gyokeres (76' pen.)
Goncalves (84'), Braganca (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Scalvini (33'), Ruggeri (43')
Djimsiti (51'), Toloi (60'), Kolasinac (76'), Scamacca (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Farense 2-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, September 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Juventus
Sunday, October 1 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Atalanta BC

The two sides both boast plenty of quality all over the pitch and will be keen to go top of the group with three points on Thursday. We certainly anticipate a tight contest and just give the edge to Ruben Amorim's side on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Atalanta BC
56.18% ( 0.51)	23.12% ( -0.18)	20.7% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 52.42% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.67% (

0.33)

47.32% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.45% (

0.31)

69.55% (

-0.31)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.35% (

0.3)

16.65% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.5% (

0.53)

46.5% (

-0.54)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.9% (

-0.15)

37.1% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.11% (

-0.14)

73.89% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 56.18%

Atalanta BC 20.7%

Draw 23.12%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.11% Total : 56.18%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.12%	0-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.67% Total : 20.7%