League One

League One | Gameweek 44

Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
1 - 2
Burton Albion

Hemmings (88')
Thompson (75'), Hemmings (90+4')
Butler (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Helm (45+1'), Hamer (76')
Oshilaja (21'), Helm (61'), Hamer (71')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stevenage 1-0 Burton Albion

Stevenage's need to earn three points on Saturday is extremely high, and the Boro should be confident of picking up a maximum versus an out-of-form Burton side. The Brewers will be happy to play away from the Pirelli Stadium on the weekend, however we are not expecting a change in fortunes for the visitors in terms of the result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Burton Albion
53.15% ( -0.35)	25.96% ( 0.04)	20.88% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 44.5% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.02% (

0.14)

57.97% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.33% (

0.11)

78.67% (

-0.11)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.08% (

-0.09)

21.92% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.81% (

-0.14)

55.18% (

0.14)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.99% (

0.42)

43.01% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.7% (

0.35)

79.3% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 53.15%

Burton Albion 20.89%

Draw 25.96%

Stevenage	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 14.3% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 53.15%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.96%	0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.02% Total : 20.89%