Championship

Championship | Gameweek 11

Oct 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
0 - 4
Middlesbrough

Neill (17'), Ballard (45+5'), Roberts (70'), Clarke (74')
Neill (45+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Greenwood (58'), Crooks (60'), Jones (72'), Forss (90')
Jones (32'), Coburn (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Cardiff
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sunderland 2-2 Middlesbrough

Despite their contrasting fortunes throughout this season, this match looks evenly-poised given how Boro have improved of late. We expect a thriller of a game, one which Sunderland may salvage a share of the spoils from during the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Middlesbrough
33.31% ( -0.09)	24.66% ( -0.01)	42.03% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 58.29% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.31% (

0.01)

44.69% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.94% (

0.01)

67.05% (

-0.01)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.08% (

-0.05)

25.92% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.08% (

-0.07)

60.91% (

0.07)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.68% (

0.05)

21.32% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.73% (

0.08)

54.27% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 33.31%

Middlesbrough 42.03%

Draw 24.66%

Sunderland	Draw	Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.31%	1-1 @ 11.53% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.66%	1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.03%