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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Birmingham City |
48.05% ( 0.42) | 25.09% ( 0.15) | 26.85% ( -0.57) |
Both teams to score 53.19% ( -0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.29% ( -1.03) | 49.7% ( 1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.28% ( -0.93) | 71.72% ( 0.93) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.29% ( -0.24) | 20.71% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.68% ( -0.38) | 53.31% ( 0.38) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.08% ( -0.99) | 32.91% ( 0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.51% ( -1.12) | 69.48% ( 1.12) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.62% Total : 48.05% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.49% Total : 26.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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